Future distribution of the eccentricity (e), the aphelion distance (Q) and the perihelion distance (q) for c omets with 0 < 1/a ori,NG < 10 -4 AU-1

Non-gravitational (NG) and gravitational (GR) results, GR are presented for comparison

These distributions are described in columns 8-10 either by: A) a mean value for the normal distributions, or B) – three deciles at 10%, 50%, and 90%. The mean values or percentiles of e, Q and q are given for the swarm of comets at next perihelion (if all clones are returning), or for synchronous swarm of clones at ~120000 AU from the Sun (if all of clones are escaping). For the mixed swarm of clones the returning part of swarm and escaping part of swarm are additionally treated separately.

In the last column the values of 1/afut for the future swarm of clones at ~250 AU from the Sun are given;

[s] denotes the synchronous swarm of clones,

[R] - values calculated for the returning part of swarm,

[E] - values calculated for escaping part of swarm,

[n] - nominal clone is inside the given part of swarm

L

P

Comet Osculating
q
[AU]
Type
of
orbit
Number of
return
ing
clones
[R]
Number of
escaping
clones
[E]
Number of
hyperbo
lic
clones
eccentricity
(10% - 50% - 90%)
Aphelion
distance
[10 3 AU]
(10% - 50% - 90%)
Perihelion
distance
[AU]
(10% - 50% - 90%)
1/afut

[10 -6 AU-1]

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
1 C/1885 X1 0.64 NG
GR
8
0
4993
5001
4969
5001
1.000037 - 1.000101 - 1.000206
1.000346 ± 0.000031
-
-
-
-
-102.3 ± 41.1
-255.3 ± 11.2
2 C/1892 Q1 0.98 NG
GR
0
0
5001
5001
5001
5001
1.000494 ± 0.000039
1.000616 - 1.000651 - 1.000685
-
-
-
-
-486.0 ± 23.2
-568.3 ± 12.5
3 C/1913 Y1 1.10 NG
GR
5001
5001
0
0
0
0
0.9999154 ± 0.0000059
0.9999577 - 0.9999599 - 0.9999617
21.7 - 23.0 - 24.6
35.47 ± 0.82
0.945 - 0.975 - 0.997
0.699 - 0.711 - 0.728
86.8 ± 4.2
56.4 ± 1.3
4 C/1940 R2 0.37 NG
GR
0
0
5001
5001
5001
5001
1.000759 ± 0.000034
1.000912 ± 0.000020
-
-
-
-
-1493.7 ± 36.5
-1630.4 ± 17.7
5 C/1946 U1 2.41 NG
GR
5001
5001
0
0
0
0
0.999765 - 0.999808 - 0.999819
0.997600 - 0.999206 - 0.999636
34.0 - 38.3 - 44.0
51.3 - 61.6 - 76.6
3.07 - 3.67 - 5.17
9.34 - 24.5 - 91.99
52.2 ± 5.3
32.5 ± 5.0
6 C/1952 W1 0.78 NG

GR
1509

0
3492

5001
3229[n]

5001
0.9999306 - 1.0000196 - 1.0000540

1.0000340 - 1.0000388 - 1.0000421
12.3 - 28.6 - 75.5 [Rs]
12.3 - 28.6 - 75.6 [R]
-
0.60 - 0.67 - 0.75[Rs]
0.13 - 0.71 - 7.61 [R]
-
-38.9 ± 106.7

-297.7 ± 21.7
7 C/1956 R1 0.32 NG
GR
0
0
5001
5001
5001
5001
1.0000479 ± 0.000014
1.0005135 ± 0.0000081
-
-
-
-
-579.7 ± 10.0
-603.5 ± 5.5
8 C/1959 Y1 0.50 NG
GR
0
0
5001
5001
5001
5001
1.00106 ± 0.00024
1.00236 ± 0.00013
-
-
-
-
-286.3 ± 33.4
-589.3 ± 15.9
9 C/1978 H1 1.14 NG
GR
0
0
5001
5001
5001
5001
1.003062 ± 0.000041
1.003102 ± 0.000012
-
-
-
-
-1024.8 ± 8.2
-1028.3 ± 2.4
10 C/1986 P1 1.20 NG
GR
5001
5001
0
0
0
0
0.9990777 ± 0.0000028
0.9991163 ± 0.0000010
2.606 ± 0.008
2.719 ± 0.003
1.202057 ± 0.000001
1.202986 ± 0.000001
767.2 ± 2.3
735.1 ± 0.8
11 C/1989 Q1 0.64 NG
GR
4950 [n]
0
51
5001
6
5001
0.9999031 - 0.9999336 - 0.9999402
1.0005482 ± 0.0000097
17.3 - 24.9 - 43.0 [R]
-
0.67 - 0.76 - 1.97 [R]
-
80.6 ± 26.5
-364.8 ± 2.1
12 C/1989 X1 0.35 NG
GR
0
0
5001
5001
5001
5001
1.000552 ± 0.000025
1.0005482 ± 0.0000097
-
-
-
-
-368.0 ± 5.4
-364.8 ± 2.1
13 C/1990 K1 0.94 NG
GR
0
0
5001
5001
5001
5001
1.001618 ± 0.000013
1.0015804 ± 0.0000052
-
-
-
-
-790.4 ± 3.5
-848.6 ± 1.6
14 C/1991 F2 1.52 NG
GR
0
0
5001
5001
5001
5001
1.000191 - 1.000258 - 1.000340
1.000301 ± 0.000014
-
-
-
-
-92.2 ± 7.3
-115.9 ± 1.8
15 C/1993 A1 1.94 NG
GR
0
0
5001
5001
5001
5001
1.0003624 ± 0.0000015
1.0004843 ± 0.0000021
-
-
-
-
-407.5 ± 2.6
-508.5 ± 4.0
16 C/1993 Q1 0.97 NG
GR
0
0
5001
5001
5001
5001
1.000746 - 1.000974 - 1.001242
1.000999 ± 0.000056
-
-
-
-
-204.1 ± 23.3
-61.4 ± 2.0
17 C/1996 E1 1.36 NG
GR
5001
5001
0
0
0
0
0.9995040 ± 0.0000073
0.9995135 ± 0.0000049
5.32 - 5.42 - 5.53
5.528 ± 0.056
1.34466 ± 0.00004
1.34484 ± 0.00003
368.8 ± 5.4
361.8 ± 3.7
18 C/1997 BA6 3.44 NG
GR
5001
5001
0
0
0
0
0.9986186 ± 0.0000059
0.9987240 ± 0.0000012
4.966 ± 0.021
5.376 ± 0.005
3.432091 ± 0.000006
3.432035 ± 0.000003
402.5 ± 1.7
371.8 ± 0.4
19 C/1997 J2 3.05 NG


GR
151

0
5001
4850[n]

0
5001
0

0
5001
0.9999319 ± 0.0000032[s]


1.0000106 ± 0.0000024
124 - 134 - 145 [s]

136.3 ± 8.4
-
4.568 ± 0.063 [s]
4.81 - 4.94 - 5.05 [R]
5.49 - 7.93 - 15.92
4.284 ± 0.016
14.9 ± 0.9 


-2.5 ± 0.6
20 C/1999 Y1 3.09 NG
GR
5001
5001
0
0
0
0
0.9989332 ± 0.0000045
0.9991163 ± 0.0000010
5.783 ± 0.024
6.115 ± 0.015
3.08617 ± 0.00003
3.08573 ± 0.00002
345.7 ± 1.5
326.9 ± 0.8
21 C/2000 SV74 3.54 NG
GR
0
0
5001
5001
5001
5001
1.0001075 ± 0.0000036
1.0001128 ± 0.0000020
-
-
-
-
-54.4 ± 0.6
-85.0 ± 0.4
22 C/2001 Q4 0.96 NG
GR
0
0
5001
5001
5001
5001
1.000530 ± 0.000001
1.0004146 ± 0.0000006
-
-
-
-
-695.4 ± 0.5
-730.7 ± 0.4
23 C/2002 E2 1.47 NG
GR
0
0
5001
5001
5001
5001
1.0005871 ± 0.0000065
1.0006703 ± 0.0000073
-
-
-
-
-441.6 ± 2.8
-425.5 ± 2.3
24 C/2002 T7 0.61 NG
GR
0
0
5001
5001
5001
5001
1.0015129 ± 0.0000045
1.0014827 ± 0.0000007
-
-
-
-
-660.0 ± 1.1
-653.5 ± 0.2
25 C/2003 K4 1.02 NG
GR
0
0
5001
5001
5001
5001
1.001200 ± 0.000015
1.0012441 ± 0.0000021
-
-
-
-
-125.1 ± 0.8
-185.0 ± 0.2
26 C/2004 B1 1.60 NG
GR
0
0
5001
5001
5001
5001
1.0029200 ± 0.0000080
1.0032200 ± 0.0000025
-
-
-
-
-460.6 ± 0.7
-481.3 ± 0.2